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Public Body
Instituto de Financiamento da Agricultura e Pescas, IP
NIF 508136644
· PT
Risk Flags
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
€1,219,434
58 contracts
Same supplier receives ≥2 direct awards in 36 months with cumulative value above the CCP Art. 113 §2 statutory cap
HIGH
€1,219,434
58 contracts
A2 · Late Publication
€110,860,648
768 contracts
Contract published to BASE more than 10 days after the signing date
LOW
€110,860,648
768 contracts
A5 · Threshold Splitting
€5,204,496
62 contracts
Contract value falls within 5% below a procedural threshold (€5K / €20K / €75K / €150K / €5.35M). Score: 35 · Severity: Medium.
HIGH
€5,204,496
62 contracts
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
€8,722,933
56 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
LOW
€8,722,933
56 contracts
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
€161,354,342
925 contracts
Entity's contract values deviate from the Benford leading-digit distribution (chi-square goodness-of-fit, min 20 contracts). Score: 35 (p<0.05) or 55 (p<0.01).
MEDIUM
€161,354,342
925 contracts
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Signal:
All
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
A2 · Late Publication
A5 · Threshold Splitting
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
C1 · Missing Supplier NIF
C3 · Missing Mandatory Fields
Page 1 of 19 · 925 results
Overview
Total Contracts
1,050
Score 39090 · CRITICAL RISK
Digit Distribution
n = 925 contracts
· χ² = 43.9068
1
32.9%
2
14.2%
3
8.8%
4
7.7%
5
7.8%
6
9.6%
7
7.6%
8
5.6%
9
5.9%
Observed
Expected (Benford)