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Public Body
Município de Guimarães
NIF 505948605
· PT
Risk Flags
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
€9,183,632
224 contracts
Same supplier receives ≥2 direct awards in 36 months with cumulative value above the CCP Art. 113 §2 statutory cap
HIGH
€9,183,632
224 contracts
A2 · Late Publication
€146,466,435
459 contracts
Contract published to BASE more than 10 days after the signing date
LOW
€146,466,435
459 contracts
A5 · Threshold Splitting
€28,737,059
389 contracts
Contract value falls within 5% below a procedural threshold (€5K / €20K / €75K / €150K / €5.35M). Score: 35 · Severity: Medium.
HIGH
€28,737,059
389 contracts
A9 · Price Overrun
€6,754,682
1 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
HIGH
€6,754,682
1 contracts
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
€35,273,214
341 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
LOW
€35,273,214
341 contracts
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
€486,176,658
3,170 contracts
Entity's contract values deviate from the Benford leading-digit distribution (chi-square goodness-of-fit, min 20 contracts). Score: 35 (p<0.05) or 55 (p<0.01).
MEDIUM
€486,176,658
3,170 contracts
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Signal:
All
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
A2 · Late Publication
A5 · Threshold Splitting
A9 · Price Overrun
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
C1 · Missing Supplier NIF
C3 · Missing Mandatory Fields
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Overview
Total Contracts
3,215
Score 55900 · CRITICAL RISK
Digit Distribution
n = 3,170 contracts
· χ² = 209.4573
1
32.9%
2
14.0%
3
10.5%
4
8.1%
5
6.2%
6
7.9%
7
10.8%
8
4.8%
9
4.9%
Observed
Expected (Benford)