← Entities
Public Body
Município de Mafra
NIF 502177080
· PT
Risk Flags
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
€5,464,346
231 contracts
Same supplier receives ≥2 direct awards in 36 months with cumulative value above the CCP Art. 113 §2 statutory cap
HIGH
€5,464,346
231 contracts
A2 · Late Publication
€347,891,860
831 contracts
Contract published to BASE more than 10 days after the signing date
LOW
€347,891,860
831 contracts
A5 · Threshold Splitting
€30,543,299
435 contracts
Contract value falls within 5% below a procedural threshold (€5K / €20K / €75K / €150K / €5.35M). Score: 35 · Severity: Medium.
HIGH
€30,543,299
435 contracts
A9 · Price Overrun
€284,534,708
12 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
HIGH
€284,492,162
9 contracts
MEDIUM
€42,546
3 contracts
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
€15,770,372
241 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
LOW
€15,770,372
241 contracts
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
€615,767,196
3,232 contracts
Entity's contract values deviate from the Benford leading-digit distribution (chi-square goodness-of-fit, min 20 contracts). Score: 35 (p<0.05) or 55 (p<0.01).
MEDIUM
€615,767,196
3,232 contracts
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Signal:
All
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
A2 · Late Publication
A5 · Threshold Splitting
A9 · Price Overrun
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
C1 · Missing Supplier NIF
C3 · Missing Mandatory Fields
Page 1 of 65 · 3,232 results
Overview
Total Contracts
3,456
Score 81825 · CRITICAL RISK
Digit Distribution
n = 3,232 contracts
· χ² = 358.5655
1
39.3%
2
11.6%
3
8.5%
4
6.4%
5
6.6%
6
8.4%
7
10.0%
8
4.3%
9
4.8%
Observed
Expected (Benford)