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Public Body
Guarda Nacional Republicana
NIF 600008878
· PT
Risk Flags
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
€14,311,320
599 contracts
Same supplier receives ≥2 direct awards in 36 months with cumulative value above the CCP Art. 113 §2 statutory cap
HIGH
€14,311,320
599 contracts
A2 · Late Publication
€204,412,083
4,000 contracts
Contract published to BASE more than 10 days after the signing date
LOW
€204,412,083
4,000 contracts
A5 · Threshold Splitting
€13,222,824
340 contracts
Contract value falls within 5% below a procedural threshold (€5K / €20K / €75K / €150K / €5.35M). Score: 35 · Severity: Medium.
HIGH
€13,222,824
340 contracts
A9 · Price Overrun
€19,405,083
70 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
HIGH
€19,391,814
62 contracts
MEDIUM
€13,269
8 contracts
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
€184,369,472
2,167 contracts
Effective price exceeds base price by >50% (score 30) or >100% (score 55); or effective price is <50% of base (score 10, possible predatory bid or data error). Severity: Medium/High/Low.
LOW
€184,369,472
2,167 contracts
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
€440,673,156
6,269 contracts
Entity's contract values deviate from the Benford leading-digit distribution (chi-square goodness-of-fit, min 20 contracts). Score: 35 (p<0.05) or 55 (p<0.01).
MEDIUM
€440,673,156
6,269 contracts
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Signal:
All
A1 · Repeat Direct Award
A2 · Late Publication
A5 · Threshold Splitting
A9 · Price Overrun
A9 · Abnormal Price Reduction
B5 · Benford's Law Deviation
C1 · Missing Supplier NIF
C3 · Missing Mandatory Fields
Page 1 of 126 · 6,269 results
Overview
Total Contracts
6,776
Score 240640 · CRITICAL RISK
Digit Distribution
n = 6,269 contracts
· χ² = 137.1015
1
31.1%
2
16.5%
3
10.5%
4
8.1%
5
8.2%
6
6.2%
7
8.0%
8
5.1%
9
6.3%
Observed
Expected (Benford)